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Computing possible futures : model-based explorations of "what if?" / [electronic resource]
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| 자료유형 | E-Book |
|---|---|
| 개인저자 | Rouse, William B., author. |
| 서명/저자사항 | Computing possible futures :model-based explorations of "what if?" /William B. Rouse.[electronic resource] |
| 발행사항 | Oxford ; New York, NY : Oxford University Press, [2019] |
| 형태사항 | 1 online resource (202 pages) |
| 소장본 주기 | Added to collection customer.56279.3 |
| ISBN | 9780192585431 0192585436 9780191881589 0191881589 9780192585448 0192585444 |
| 요약 | This book discusses the use of models and interactive visualizations to explore designs of systems and policies in determining whether such designs would be effective. Executives and senior managers are very interested in what "data analytics" can do for them and, quite recently, what the prospects are for artificial intelligence and machine learning. They want to understand and then invest wisely. They are reasonably skeptical, having experienced overselling and under-delivery. They ask about reasonable and realistic expectations. Their concern is with the futurity of decisions they are currently entertaining. They cannot fully address this concern empirically. Thus, they need some way to make predictions. The problem is that one rarely can predict exactly what will happen, only what might happen. To overcome this limitation, executives can be provided predictions of possible futures and the conditions under which each scenario is likely to emerge. Models can help them to understand these possible futures. Most executives find such candor refreshing, perhaps even liberating. Their job becomes one of imagining and designing a portfolio of possible futures, assisted by interactive computational models. Understanding and managing uncertainty is central to their job. Indeed, doing this better than competitors is a hallmark of success. This book is intended to help them understand what fundamentally needs to be done, why it needs to be done, and how to do it. The hope is that readers will discuss this book and develop a "shared mental model" of computational modeling in the process, which will greatly enhance their chances of success. |
| 일반주제명 | Computer simulation. Mathematical models. Information visualization. Management -- Data processing. Decision making. |
| 언어 | 영어 |
| 기타형태 저록 | Print version:9780198846420 |
| 대출바로가기 | https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&scope=site&db=nlebk&db=nlabk&AN=2245841 |
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| No. | 등록번호 | 청구기호 | 소장처 | 도서상태 | 반납예정일 | 예약 | 서비스 | 매체정보 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | WE00019011 | 003.3 | 가야대학교/전자책서버(컴퓨터서버)/ | 대출가능 |
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